Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)Shenzhen started the construction of the first batch of "AI+" medical equipment professional parks. At the 2024 Shenzhen International High Performance Medical Equipment Exhibition and Innovative Medicine Exhibition held on December 12, a number of breakthrough cutting-edge technological achievements and innovative products were unveiled, and more than 200 famous medical equipment enterprises, scientific research institutions and medical institutions from home and abroad gathered to discuss cutting-edge technologies, explore innovative paths of medical equipment and help the high-quality development of the industry. In order to further seize the opportunity of artificial intelligence medical development, accelerate the digital transformation of Shenzhen's biomedical industry, gather a number of characteristic "AI+" medical equipment enterprises, and incubate a number of innovative medical equipment projects, Shenzhen started to build "AI+" medical equipment professional parks in key areas of industrial development. At this exhibition, the construction of the first batch of Shenzhen "AI+" pharmaceutical machinery professional parks, such as Baolong Biomedical Innovation and Development Pilot Zone, Nanshan Zhicheng, Hetao AI+ Biological Professional Park and Yinxing Science and Technology Park, was officially launched. Next, Shenzhen will vigorously improve the development and incubation of new quality productivity in the field of medical equipment, work together to shape the deep integration ecological pattern of "artificial intelligence+medical equipment", and accelerate the development and growth of "AI+" medical equipment industry.Shanxi Securities: Sora officially launched the AI video generation tool, which continued to iterate. Shanxi Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 10th, OpenAI officially launched Sora. Compared with the version released by OpenAI in February, the new Sora launched this time added Storyboard, Remix, Re-cut and other functions, which greatly improved the video re-creation ability and optimized the video generation speed and generation method. 2) Since the beginning of this year, domestic enterprises have begun to accelerate the research and development and iteration of AI video generation products, and the product capabilities have been continuously improved and the application scenarios have been continuously broadened. Sora was officially launched, and the video creation ability was significantly improved, and it began to change from a creative tool to a productivity tool. With the continuous iteration of AI video generation tools represented by Sora, its penetration into various application scenarios is expected to accelerate in the future. On the one hand, the application layer suggests focusing on creative, design, education and other multi-modal fields, especially video generation. On the other hand, the demand for computing power in video generation model is significantly higher than that in text, focusing on AI computing power related targets.
Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".The Ministry of National Defense responded to the question of whether to engage in exercises: the situation is unpredictable, and the leader of the Taiwan Province region, Lai Qingde, recently "transited" Hawaii and Guam. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, Director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, answered a reporter's question on whether the PLA would conduct exercises. A: It is the sacred duty of the People's Liberation Army to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity, the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation and the common interests of compatriots on both sides of the strait. Soldiers have no constant potential and water is impermanent. Whether and when to hold the exercise is up to us to decide independently according to our own needs and the struggle situation. No matter whether the exercise is held or not, the PLA will not be absent or soft in fighting for "independence" and promoting reunification. Any act of "seeking independence by relying on foreign countries" and "seeking independence by force" will be severely punished and doomed to failure.
Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.Shanxi Securities: Sora officially launched the AI video generation tool, which continued to iterate. Shanxi Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 10th, OpenAI officially launched Sora. Compared with the version released by OpenAI in February, the new Sora launched this time added Storyboard, Remix, Re-cut and other functions, which greatly improved the video re-creation ability and optimized the video generation speed and generation method. 2) Since the beginning of this year, domestic enterprises have begun to accelerate the research and development and iteration of AI video generation products, and the product capabilities have been continuously improved and the application scenarios have been continuously broadened. Sora was officially launched, and the video creation ability was significantly improved, and it began to change from a creative tool to a productivity tool. With the continuous iteration of AI video generation tools represented by Sora, its penetration into various application scenarios is expected to accelerate in the future. On the one hand, the application layer suggests focusing on creative, design, education and other multi-modal fields, especially video generation. On the other hand, the demand for computing power in video generation model is significantly higher than that in text, focusing on AI computing power related targets.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14